{"id":634355,"date":"2023-12-28T06:51:17","date_gmt":"2023-12-27T23:51:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canhco.net\/?p=634355"},"modified":"2024-01-03T14:33:47","modified_gmt":"2024-01-03T07:33:47","slug":"trien-vong-kinh-te-toan-cau-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/trien-vong-kinh-te-toan-cau-2024-p634355.html","title":{"rendered":"Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ec9 ra m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2024, nh\u01b0ng nh\u1eefng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00e3 qua.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

N\u0103m 2023 kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1n \u201cgi\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d, t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng cho t\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u1ea3i t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t l\u00ean r\u1ea5t cao. 2023 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 n\u0103m ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n mong \u0111\u1ee3i \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111i k\u00e8m.<\/p>\n

L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi H\u00e3ng tin Anadolu, \u00f4ng Ken Wattret, ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u1ea1i C\u00f4ng ty S&P Global Market Intelligence, cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

\u201cL\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00e1c nhau \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u01b0ng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chung l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m. Ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, v\u00e0 hy v\u1ecdng l\u00e0 h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf l\u1ea1i ph\u00eda sau ch\u00fang ta\u201d, \u00f4ng Wattret n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

V\u1eeba qua C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch 5,25 \u2013 5,5%, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 22 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Anh c\u0169ng gi\u1eef l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u1edf m\u1ee9c 5,25%, trong khi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00e1i c\u1ea5p v\u1ed1n ch\u00ednh, c\u01a1 s\u1edf cho vay c\u1eadn bi\u00ean v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,5%, 4,75% v\u00e0 4%.<\/p>\n

\"UOB<\/figure>\n

Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t gi\u1ea3m nhanh \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n chung ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (\u1edf m\u1ee9c 2,4%), \u1edf M\u1ef9 (3,1%) v\u00e0 Anh (4,6%). C\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn, cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd v\u1eabn s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i n\u1eefa, cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c mong mu\u1ed1n 2%.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2024, nh\u01b0ng m\u1ee9c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Ahmet Ihsan Kaya, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a Anh (NIESR), cho r\u1eb1ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ec1 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh cho kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n: \u201cKhi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m, c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u1edf c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0 m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u r\u00fat l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf t\u1eeb n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2024. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i tin r\u1eb1ng qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n v\u00ec m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eabn qu\u00e1 cao so v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 ra\u201d.<\/p>\n

B\u1edbt nh\u1eefng c\u01a1n \u201cgi\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

C\u00f4ng ty S&P Global Market Intelligence d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2024 s\u1ebd \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2,3%, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 2,7% c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2023. C\u00f2n C\u00f4ng ty Fitch Ratings cho r\u1eb1ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2024 ch\u1ec9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2,1%, gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 2,9% c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2023.<\/p>\n

\"\"
L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ch\u01b0a h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia. \u1ea2nh: PBS.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Theo b\u00e1o The National (UAE), c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ec9 ra m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2024, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00e3 qua v\u00e0 c\u00e1c tr\u1edf l\u1ef1c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Wattret cho r\u1eb1ng khu v\u1ef1c ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh cho to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m t\u1edbi. \u00d4ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng trong khu v\u1ef1c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

Theo d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a C\u00f4ng ty Fitch Ratings, GDP c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 4,5% trong n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n r\u1ee7i ro v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Kaya l\u01b0u \u00fd c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn, nh\u01b0ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1ee7i ro trung h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c1 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c do c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ea3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp ni\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc do l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao v\u00e0 c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u00f4ng Wattret kh\u00f4ng ngh\u0129 s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra suy tho\u00e1i \u1edf M\u1ef9, nh\u01b0ng \u201cc\u00f3 l\u1ebd giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y \u1edf c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c, g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u\u201d.<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft khu v\u1ef1c T\u00e2y \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i. \u00d4ng Brian Coulton, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Fitch Ratings, cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n

B\u1ea3o Tr\u00e2m<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ec9 ra m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2024, nh\u01b0ng nh\u1eefng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00e3 qua. N\u0103m 2023 kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1n \u201cgi\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d, t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng cho t\u1edbi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":634356,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1868,1191],"topics":[],"longform":[],"members":[128588],"story":[],"thematic":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634355"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=634355"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634355\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":634530,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/634355\/revisions\/634530"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/634356"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=634355"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=634355"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=634355"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=634355"},{"taxonomy":"longform","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/longform?post=634355"},{"taxonomy":"members","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/members?post=634355"},{"taxonomy":"story","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/story?post=634355"},{"taxonomy":"thematic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematic?post=634355"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}