{"id":628895,"date":"2023-08-12T13:30:04","date_gmt":"2023-08-12T06:30:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canhco.net\/?p=628895"},"modified":"2023-08-12T13:30:12","modified_gmt":"2023-08-12T06:30:12","slug":"giam-phat-tram-trong-trung-quoc-xuat-hien-dau-hieu-can-benh-nhat-ban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/giam-phat-tram-trong-trung-quoc-xuat-hien-dau-hieu-can-benh-nhat-ban-p628895.html","title":{"rendered":"Gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng, Trung Qu\u1ed1c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u “c\u0103n b\u1ec7nh Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Theo SCMP, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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D\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a \u201cc\u0103n b\u1ec7nh Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u1edd Nikkei (Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n) \u0111\u01b0a tin r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng bong b\u00f3ng, khi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng gi\u1ea3m s\u00fat khi b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 gi\u00e0.<\/p>\n

\u201cKh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m h\u01a1n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb k\u1ebft th\u00fac k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 L\u1ec5 Lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5\u201d, m\u1ed9t ch\u1ee7 nh\u00e0 h\u00e0ng \u1edf B\u1eafc Kinh cho bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

Theo \u0111\u00f3, kho\u1ea3n ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng cho m\u1ed7i kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng 400 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n d\u01b0\u1edbi 300 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, nhu c\u1ea7u y\u1ebfu d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ea5p, t\u1ea1o ra s\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m t\u1ea1i Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1990.<\/p>\n

C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i m\u1ea1nh sau khi bong b\u00f3ng gi\u00e1 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n n\u1ed5 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 1989, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 gia \u0111\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb7t \u01b0u ti\u00ean tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 ti\u00eau ti\u1ec1n cho h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 4\/2023, nhi\u1ec1u d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e3 g\u1ee3i l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i. Sau khi h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf do d\u1ecbch COVID \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, nh\u01b0ng d\u1ea7n b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u201cm\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0\u201d trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. GDP qu\u00fd II c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng so v\u1edbi qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc. C\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn h\u01a1n, l\u00e0m n\u1ea3y sinh m\u1ed1i lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

\u201cKinh nghi\u1ec7m t\u1eeb Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990 cho th\u1ea5y Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o \u2018b\u1eaby thanh kho\u1ea3n\u2019, m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng trong \u0111\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu tr\u1edf n\u00ean v\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng ch\u1ecdn gi\u1eef ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t thay v\u00ec ti\u00eau ti\u1ec1n,\u201d b\u00e0 Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng khu v\u1ef1c ch\u00e2u \u00c1-Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Natixis, \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch.<\/p>\n

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\u00d4ng Yin Jianfeng, ph\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Vi\u1ec7n T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u01a1 quan t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc, cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a \u201cc\u0103n b\u1ec7nh Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n\u201d \u0111ang xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn nguy c\u01a1 gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Yin cho bi\u1ebft Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t, d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 CPI cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Richard Koo, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Nomura, l\u00ean ti\u1ebfng cho bi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n vay m\u01b0\u1ee3n, ngay c\u1ea3 sau khi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6 \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u r\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1t v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u1eafn, nh\u01b0ng t\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang g\u00e2y h\u1ea1i cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf\u201d, Koo n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Bloomberg v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

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\u201cTr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eaft\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

Lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n b\u1edfi ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

\u201cM\u1ed1i lo \u00e2u v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5m s\u00e2u v\u00e0o t\u00e2m tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi,\u201d m\u1ed9t nh\u00e2n vi\u00ean nh\u00e0 h\u00e0ng t\u1eebng tr\u1ea3i qua giai \u0111o\u1ea1n phong t\u1ecfa ch\u1ed1ng Covid-19 t\u1ea1i Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ea3i v\u00e0o m\u00f9a xu\u00e2n n\u0103m 2022 chia s\u1ebb.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 mua s\u1eafm nh\u00e0 c\u1eeda hay h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng. Ngay c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi tr\u1ebb tu\u1ed5i c\u0169ng \u0111ang ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m h\u01a1n v\u00ec t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf \u0111\u1ed9 tu\u1ed5i thanh ni\u00ean v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 20%.<\/p>\n

Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111ang n\u1eb1m y\u00ean trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u1edf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bong b\u00f3ng kinh t\u1ebf. T\u1ea1i Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u00edch ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m h\u01a1n l\u00e0 chi ti\u00eau \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu thanh kho\u1ea3n, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 suy gi\u1ea3m nhanh c\u1ee7a d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1edbi \u201chi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n\u201d. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh r\u1eb1ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u00edt h\u01a1n 8 tri\u1ec7u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p sinh trong n\u0103m nay, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu lao \u0111\u1ed9ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng c\u00f9ng vi\u1ec7c thu h\u1eb9p th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u k\u1ef9 kinh nghi\u1ec7m sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bong b\u00f3ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n. Yasunari Ueno, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1i Mizuho Securities, \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1: \u201cH\u1ecd t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c tr\u00e1nh t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng bong b\u00f3ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u1ee1 qu\u00e1 \u0111\u00e0 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201cNh\u01b0ng gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng h\u1ecdc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc t\u1eeb Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn,\u201d Ueno nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

Tu\u1ec7 Ng\u00f4<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Theo SCMP, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n. D\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a \u201cc\u0103n b\u1ec7nh Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n\u201d T\u1edd Nikkei (Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n) \u0111\u01b0a tin r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":628898,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[47752,1868,793,469],"topics":[],"longform":[],"members":[153483],"story":[],"thematic":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628895"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=628895"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628895\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":628923,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628895\/revisions\/628923"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/628898"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=628895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=628895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=628895"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=628895"},{"taxonomy":"longform","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/longform?post=628895"},{"taxonomy":"members","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/members?post=628895"},{"taxonomy":"story","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/story?post=628895"},{"taxonomy":"thematic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematic?post=628895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}