{"id":628500,"date":"2023-08-06T09:41:06","date_gmt":"2023-08-06T02:41:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canhco.net\/?p=628500"},"modified":"2023-08-06T10:54:41","modified_gmt":"2023-08-06T03:54:41","slug":"viet-nam-duoc-du-bao-se-dan-dau-tang-truong-toan-cau-trong-thap-ky-toi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/viet-nam-duoc-du-bao-se-dan-dau-tang-truong-toan-cau-trong-thap-ky-toi-p628500.html","title":{"rendered":"Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi"},"content":{"rendered":"

M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Indonesia s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi trong c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u1edbi t\u1eeb trang tin \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed Phys, 1 chuy\u00ean trang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng th\u00f4ng tin t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a ph\u00f2ng th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng thu\u1ed9c tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Harvard M\u1ef9 v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c nhau tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2021 -2031. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Harvard \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf (ECI) \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a m\u1ed7i qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tho\u00e1i tr\u00e0o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1eadp y\u00ean 50 v\u00e0 60 c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, sau khi \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, \u0110\u00e0i Loan, H\u1ed3ng K\u00f4ng, Singapore hay Trung Qu\u1ed1c, do \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u xem l\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed9 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f3t v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

Trong m\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a Harvard \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n lo\u1ea1i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u th\u00e0nh ba nh\u00f3m kh\u00e1c nhau, bao g\u1ed3m nh\u00f3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5, nh\u00f3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m tho\u00e1i tr\u00e0o, v\u00e0 trong \u0111\u00f3, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp v\u00e0o nh\u00f3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1edbi. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

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Theo nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u n\u00e0y, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1edbi, Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd chung nh\u00f3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Campuchia, Indonesia v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. Nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea3 hai n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o trong t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 quy m\u00f4 GDP m\u00e0 c\u00f2n v\u1ec1 thu nh\u1eadp b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

Ricardo Hausmann, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Ph\u00f2ng th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 t\u1ea1i Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Harvard Kennedy (HKS), cho bi\u1ebft: \u201cC\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t sang c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ebd d\u1eabn d\u1eaft t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi. Trong \u0111\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 quy m\u00f4 GDP v\u00e0 thu nh\u1eadp b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n, trong khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng nhanh v\u1ec1 thu nh\u1eadp b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi.\u201d<\/p>\n

Hai qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ef1c nhanh, nh\u1edd v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c \u0111ang l\u00e0m ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, trong khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang l\u00e0m ch\u1ee7 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u1edbi, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t pin, xe \u0111i\u1ec7n, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o, th\u00ec Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111ang c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 th\u00f4ng tin, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c t\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

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X\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p Kinh t\u1ebf (ECI) giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2001-2021<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, hai n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y c\u0169ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ed5 sung cho nhau r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 ho\u1eb7c nguy\u00ean ph\u1ee5 li\u1ec7u cho qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam, trong khi Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u quan tr\u1ecdng cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef7 d\u00e2n t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Hausman tin r\u1eb1ng ngu\u1ed3n nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o t\u1ed1t v\u1edbi tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1ecdc v\u1ea5n b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1ea5t cao, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 m\u00f9 ch\u1eef r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p s\u1ebd gi\u00fap cho \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ebb \u1edf hai qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t m\u1edbi, khoa h\u1ecdc c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng h\u1ea5p thu nh\u1eefng d\u00e2y chuy\u1ec1n s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u01a1n, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n t\u1eeb t\u00ednh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, Nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a The Atlas of Economic Complexity cho bi\u1ebft \u201cTrung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ee3i \u00edch thu nh\u1eadp t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 \u201cph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p\u201d ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, tuy nhi\u00ean h\u1ecd v\u1eabn \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn nhanh \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u201cph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p\u201d h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c thu nh\u1eadp m\u00e0 h\u1ecd hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang c\u00f3, v\u00ec v\u1eady h\u1ecd s\u1ebd v\u1eabn l\u00e0 c\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Ph\u1ee9c h\u1ee3p Kinh t\u1ebf (ECI) ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 \u0111a d\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p c\u1ee7a n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t g\u1eafn li\u1ec1n v\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed7i qu\u1ed1c gia. B\u1ea3n x\u1ebfp h\u00e0ng ECI m\u1edbi cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ea1o c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n nay. Th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 l\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, Th\u1ee5y S\u0129, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, \u0110\u1ee9c, Singapore. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd kh\u00e1c bao g\u1ed3m V\u01b0\u01a1ng Qu\u1ed1c Anh \u1edf v\u1ecb tr\u00ed th\u1ee9 8, Hoa K\u1ef3 \u1edf v\u1ecb tr\u00ed 14, Ph\u00e1p \u1edf v\u1ecb tr\u00ed 17 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf v\u1ecb tr\u00ed 18.<\/p>\n

Tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p nh\u1ea5t, Romani \u0111\u1ee9ng th\u1ee9 19, Philippines th\u1ee9 33, Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u1ee9 30 v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c th\u1ee9 3 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ea3n x\u1ebfp h\u00e0ng trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021. Nh\u01b0ng ngo\u00e0i Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Philippines s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, th\u00ec c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i.<\/p>\n

Tu\u1ec7 Ng\u00f4<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Indonesia s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi trong c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u1edbi t\u1eeb trang tin \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed Phys, 1 chuy\u00ean trang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":619750,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[155791,135289,10712],"topics":[192],"longform":[],"members":[153483],"story":[],"thematic":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628500"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=628500"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628500\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":628519,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628500\/revisions\/628519"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/619750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=628500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=628500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=628500"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=628500"},{"taxonomy":"longform","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/longform?post=628500"},{"taxonomy":"members","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/members?post=628500"},{"taxonomy":"story","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/story?post=628500"},{"taxonomy":"thematic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematic?post=628500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}