{"id":623361,"date":"2023-06-02T13:05:58","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T06:05:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canhco.net\/?p=623361"},"modified":"2023-06-02T13:09:35","modified_gmt":"2023-06-02T06:09:35","slug":"kinh-te-duc-roi-vao-suy-thoai-he-luy-the-nao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/kinh-te-duc-roi-vao-suy-thoai-he-luy-the-nao-p623361.html","title":{"rendered":"Kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i, h\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0110\u1ee9c, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y v\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Do \u0111\u00f3, khi kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c suy tho\u00e1i, s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u m\u00e0 c\u00f2n to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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V\u00e0o nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 5 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. Trong khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, M\u1ef9, v\u1eabn \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u1ee3, th\u00ec n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c suy tho\u00e1i v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u00e2m trong hai qu\u00fd li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp (qu\u00fd 4-2022 v\u00e0 qu\u00fd 1-2023).<\/p>\n

Trong tu\u1ea7n v\u1eeba qua, V\u0103n ph\u00f2ng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c suy tho\u00e1i trong \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2023 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u0103ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c v\u1ec1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c, cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t m\u00e1t kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u g\u00ec \u0111ang l\u00e0m t\u00ea li\u1ec7t \u201cg\u00e3 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3\u201d kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a EU ?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n s\u00e2u xa c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i n\u00e0y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19. \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf trong m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi d\u1ecbch b\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n

Sau khi d\u1ecbch b\u1ec7nh \u0111i qua, khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra nh\u1eefng r\u1ed1i ren trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, \u0111\u1ea9y \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7t \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 g\u00e2y suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 leo thang c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 Nga, c\u00f9ng vi\u1ec7c Nga c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m ngu\u1ed3n cung kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t cho ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (kho\u1ea3ng 40% nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a EU \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cung \u1ee9ng b\u1edfi Nga), \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, g\u00e2y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao (7,4%). H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, t\u00e2m l\u00fd kh\u00f4ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh do xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m s\u1ee9c mua, trong khi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 th\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 3,4%, c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n h\u00e0ng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p gi\u1ea3m k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 10,7%, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh 5,2%.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t minh ch\u1ee9ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0110\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u00f4 t\u00f4. Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb nh\u1eefng th\u01b0\u01a1ng hi\u1ec7u danh ti\u1ebfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 Porsche v\u00e0 BMW v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 xe ch\u1ea1y nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed1t, th\u00ec \u00f4 t\u00f4 \u0111i\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n nay \u0111ang v\u1eadt l\u1ed9n v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n.<\/p>\n

H\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y ra sao?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ee9c \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t trung t\u00e2m c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 thi\u1ebfu lao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 cao l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c, bu\u1ed9c Berlin ph\u1ea3i t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef1 do h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp c\u01b0. M\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1eeb Vi\u1ec7n Kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 630.000 v\u1ecb tr\u00ed tuy\u1ec3n d\u1ee5ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y trong n\u0103m 2022, t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u1eeb 280.000 c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn trong n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Theo c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia, n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 suy tho\u00e1i k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, th\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01a1n \u00e1c m\u1ed9ng cho n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ee9c: t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3 s\u1ebd gia t\u0103ng, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u1ee9 \u0111\u1ecdng, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed1n, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5\u2026<\/p>\n

N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c, tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00e9o Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ra kh\u1ecfi kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng, \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1eaft x\u00edch y\u1ebfu \u1edbt.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c t\u1ee5t h\u1eadu so v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m t\u1edbi, trong khi Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf G7 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u00e9m nh\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n

Tu\u1ec7 Ng\u00f4<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0110\u1ee9c, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y v\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Do \u0111\u00f3, khi kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c suy tho\u00e1i, s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":623362,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1619,1868,9081],"topics":[],"longform":[],"members":[153483],"story":[],"thematic":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/623361"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=623361"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/623361\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":623365,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/623361\/revisions\/623365"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/623362"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=623361"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=623361"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=623361"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=623361"},{"taxonomy":"longform","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/longform?post=623361"},{"taxonomy":"members","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/members?post=623361"},{"taxonomy":"story","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/story?post=623361"},{"taxonomy":"thematic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematic?post=623361"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}