{"id":622802,"date":"2023-05-25T15:49:39","date_gmt":"2023-05-25T08:49:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canhco.net\/?p=622802"},"modified":"2023-05-25T15:54:01","modified_gmt":"2023-05-25T08:54:01","slug":"nen-kinh-te-toan-cau-dang-dung-truoc-nhung-bien-so-kho-luong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/nen-kinh-te-toan-cau-dang-dung-truoc-nhung-bien-so-kho-luong-p622802.html","title":{"rendered":"N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nh\u1eefng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng di\u1ec5n ra nh\u01b0 mong \u0111\u1ee3i. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u khu v\u1ef1c.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u1ede ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u00e0 c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e0m suy tho\u00e1i \u0110\u1ee9c \u2013 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n

G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m trong ba th\u00e1ng li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd kinh t\u1ebf ZEW gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng 5\/2023, xu\u1ed1ng -10,7 \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 4,1 \u0111i\u1ec3m trong th\u00e1ng 4\/2023, g\u00e2y lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y 16\/5, Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111ang t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c trong n\u0103m 2023 s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n b\u1eb1ng 0 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n l\u00ean 3% trong n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>\n

Theo kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n ZEW, ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng N\u0103m, t\u1ea1o th\u00eam lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf theo kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t c\u1ee7a ZEW \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp trong ba th\u00e1ng, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m 14,8 \u0111i\u1ec3m, r\u01a1i xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c \u00e2m 10,7 \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n

Con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia v\u00e0 l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u00e2m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12\/2022.<\/p>\n

M\u1ee9c \u00e2m n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 bi quan c\u1ee7a \u0111a s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch ZEW, Achim Wambach, cho bi\u1ebft c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd x\u1ea5u \u0111i trong s\u00e1u th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng c\u0169ng cho bi\u1ebft kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi suy tho\u00e1i, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 l\u00e0 \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1eb9.<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng, s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m l\u00f2ng tin c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0 do kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 M\u1ef9 v\u1ec1 n\u1ee3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0 do l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng \u0110\u1ee9c b\u00e1n \u1edf Nga gi\u1ea3m.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Sau khi gi\u1ea3m 0,5% trong qu\u00fd IV\/2022 do t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c suy tho\u00e1i nh\u1edd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong qu\u00fd I\/2023.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c trong nh\u1eefng tu\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m m\u1edd \u0111i hy v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, M\u1ef9 \u2013 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u2013 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t s\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2008 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c n\u00e2ng tr\u1ea7n n\u1ee3.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 16\/5, B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 Janet Yellen c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 \u201cth\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c\u201d c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra n\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec3 trang tr\u1ea3i c\u00e1c ngh\u0129a v\u1ee5 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ea3 l\u01b0\u01a1ng cho nh\u00e2n vi\u00ean li\u00ean bang, g\u00e2y t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn doanh nghi\u1ec7p th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng khu v\u1ef1c M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m cho vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t kinh t\u1ebf g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra suy tho\u00e1i trong 12 th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi l\u00e0 65%.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh trong th\u00e1ng 4\/2023 c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9. Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb t\u0103ng trong th\u00e1ng 4\/2023, cho th\u1ea5y ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ng\u00e0y 16\/5, cho th\u1ea5y trong th\u00e1ng 4\/2023 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p trong thanh ni\u00ean t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 20,4%.<\/p>\n

Hao Hong, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Grow Investment Group cho bi\u1ebft, c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng n\u00e2ng cao nhu c\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n. S\u1ef1 y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 trong \u0111\u01a1n \u0111\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

Theo Mark Zandi, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ty nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Moody\u2019s Analytics, c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u1ee9u tr\u1ee3, \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi suy y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u0110\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u0103m kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u1ee3p l\u00fd t\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua suy tho\u00e1i\u201d, \u00f4ng Mark Zandi nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t.<\/p>\n

Tu\u1ec7 Ng\u00f4<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nh\u1eefng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng di\u1ec5n ra nh\u01b0 mong \u0111\u1ee3i. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u khu v\u1ef1c. \u1ede ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u00e0 c\u00f3 nguy […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":622808,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[7253,5429,1868],"topics":[],"longform":[],"members":[153483],"story":[],"thematic":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/622802"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=622802"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/622802\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":622811,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/622802\/revisions\/622811"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/622808"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=622802"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=622802"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=622802"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=622802"},{"taxonomy":"longform","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/longform?post=622802"},{"taxonomy":"members","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/members?post=622802"},{"taxonomy":"story","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/story?post=622802"},{"taxonomy":"thematic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematic?post=622802"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}