{"id":612209,"date":"2022-11-12T14:51:53","date_gmt":"2022-11-12T07:51:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canhco.net\/?p=612209"},"modified":"2022-11-12T16:36:22","modified_gmt":"2022-11-12T09:36:22","slug":"tinh-hinh-asean-truoc-suy-thoai-toan-cau","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/tinh-hinh-asean-truoc-suy-thoai-toan-cau-p612209.html","title":{"rendered":"ASEAN tr\u01b0\u1edbc suy tho\u00e1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u"},"content":{"rendered":"

Trong khi nhi\u1ec1u n\u01a1i tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang ch\u00f9n b\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u00ean b\u1edd v\u1ef1c suy tho\u00e1i, th\u00ec khu v\u1ef1c ASEAN trong n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2022 \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd sau thi\u00ean tai. Nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, khi\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch, theo Eurasia Review.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Theo \u0111\u00f3, GDP \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Philippines v\u00e0 Malaysia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 6%, trong khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Indonesia v\u00e0 Campuchia d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bkho\u1ea3ng 5%. Singapore, Th\u00e1i Lan, CHDCND L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Myanmar \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kho\u1ea3ng 3%.<\/p>\n

Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, s\u1ef1 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. S\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u00f4 th\u1ecb l\u1edbn di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean to\u00e0n khu v\u1ef1c, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi du l\u1ecbch ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i r\u1ea5t nhanh sau khi c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111i l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf. C\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ed1 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201ckhu\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng\u201d tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c khu ch\u1ee3 v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi do ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0 nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng quy\u1ec1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ASEAN ng\u00e0y nay \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u1ea5t n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt trong khu v\u1ef1c, cho th\u1ea5y th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u1ed9i kh\u1ed1i ASEAN \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh trong ASEAN l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 gia t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong ASEAN. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 n\u01a1i m\u00e0 nh\u00f3m ASEAN c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n kh\u1ecfi b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n

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Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p d\u1eadp d\u1ecbch, \u201cZero covid\u201d \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh di s\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 v\u1eabn \u0111ang th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Zero-COVID d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111ang k\u00ecm h\u00e3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf. Ngo\u00e0i ra, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i do chi ph\u00ed nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u t\u0103ng cao, trong khi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111ang t\u0103ng nhanh \u1edf Indonesia, Malaysia v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 sang n\u0103m 2023.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n suy y\u1ebfu, n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 t\u01b0 gia t\u0103ng, chi ph\u00ed n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng, v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung ti\u1ec1n m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong hai n\u0103m qua \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf Indonesia, Philippines, Campuchia, Th\u00e1i Lan, CHDCND L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Myanmar.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn tin r\u1eb1ng ASEAN s\u1ebd v\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n trong n\u0103m t\u1edbi. C\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 lo ng\u1ea1i t\u1eeb Singapore r\u1eb1ng \u201cbong b\u00f3ng\u201d b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1ee1. Tuy nhi\u00ean, IMF \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a Malaysia l\u00ean 5,4% trong n\u0103m nay, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 4,4% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023. Con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 4,7% tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

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S\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a ASEAN sau \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

S\u1ef1 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ASEAN \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu lao \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh ni\u00ean \u1edf Singapore, Malaysia v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u1ea3 Th\u00e1i Lan. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, n\u1ebfu nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ASEAN ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng gi\u00e0u ngh\u00e8o ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 ASEAN \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c thu nh\u1eadp t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a thu nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea3 d\u1ee5ng.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn c\u00e1c gia \u0111\u00ecnh \u1edf m\u1ee9c thu nh\u1eadp th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ebfn trung b\u00ecnh \u0111ang g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed sinh ho\u1ea1t ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng cao. S\u1ee9c mua s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c suy gi\u1ea3m trong 12 th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi. M\u1ee9c ngh\u00e8o t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng. Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ASEAN \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, ASEAN c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf s\u1eafp t\u1edbi. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u00e2u v\u00e0 d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n n\u00e0o. Theo Eurasia Review, nh\u1eefng g\u00ec x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ASEAN.<\/p>\n

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Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN n\u0103m 2020<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi bi quan v\u1ec1 nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023. Nh\u1eefng nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u1ee7a t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 v\u1ec1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 tin t\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 suy tho\u00e1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn khi d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ch\u1ea3y ra kh\u1ecfi Trung Qu\u1ed1c gia t\u0103ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb sau \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i 20 c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, n\u01a1i T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea7u l\u00e0m ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 th\u1ee9 ba. Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ASEAN v\u00e0 l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i l\u1edbn. V\u00ec v\u1eady, m\u1ecdi \u201cnh\u1ea5t c\u1eed nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng\u201d c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc \u201ct\u1ef7 d\u00e2n\u201d n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng cho h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ASEAN.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ASEAN s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t n\u1ee3 v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i \u0111ang x\u00f3i m\u00f2n v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 kh\u00e1c, n\u1ebfu th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i s\u00e2u.<\/p>\n

Tu\u1ec7 Ng\u00f4 (Theo Eurasia Review)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trong khi nhi\u1ec1u n\u01a1i tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang ch\u00f9n b\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u00ean b\u1edd v\u1ef1c suy tho\u00e1i, th\u00ec khu v\u1ef1c ASEAN trong n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2022 \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd sau thi\u00ean tai. Nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1141,152162,10070,469,152125],"topics":[],"longform":[],"members":[153483],"story":[],"thematic":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/612209"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=612209"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/612209\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":612312,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/612209\/revisions\/612312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=612209"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=612209"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=612209"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=612209"},{"taxonomy":"longform","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/longform?post=612209"},{"taxonomy":"members","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/members?post=612209"},{"taxonomy":"story","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/story?post=612209"},{"taxonomy":"thematic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematic?post=612209"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}