{"id":608691,"date":"2022-09-08T10:16:41","date_gmt":"2022-09-08T03:16:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canhco.net\/?p=608691"},"modified":"2022-09-07T16:04:49","modified_gmt":"2022-09-07T09:04:49","slug":"may-den-bao-phu-the-gioi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/may-den-bao-phu-the-gioi-p608691.html","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e2y \u0111en bao ph\u1ee7 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd c\u1ee5m t\u1eeb \u201csuy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf\u201d \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ebf tr\u00ean thanh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 Google. N\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 bi quan c\u1ee7a ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u b\u1ecb bao ph\u1ee7 b\u1edfi \u201cm\u00e0u \u0111en \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m\u201d<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa l\u1ea1i h\u1ea1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Trong b\u1ea3n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt v\u1ec1 Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng Kinh t\u1ebf Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, IMF cho bi\u1ebft t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i xu\u1ed1ng 3,2% v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2022 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 3,6% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4. IMF gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u1eb1ng GDP th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m trong Qu\u00fd II do suy tho\u00e1i \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, IMF c\u0169ng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u0103m 2023 xu\u1ed1ng 2,9% so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 3,6% c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 4, v\u1edbi l\u00fd do t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas c\u1ee7a IMF nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh trong ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o: \u201cBa n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u00e0 M\u1ef9, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro \u0111ang \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. D\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 m\u00e2y \u0111en \u0111ang bao ph\u1ee7 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi\u201d<\/em>.<\/p>\n

Theo \u0111\u00f3,\u00a0IMF d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 2,9% trong n\u0103m 2022, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 3,7% \u0111\u01b0a ra h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 4. IMF c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 2,3% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 1,7% trong n\u0103m 2023, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, ch\u1ec9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 0,8% trong n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n

Theo T\u1ed5ng Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c IMF Kristalina Georgieva, kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c sau \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch, nh\u01b0ng \u201cc\u00fa s\u1ed1c l\u1edbn\u201d t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Ukraine c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n l\u1ec7nh phong t\u1ecfa \u0111ang khi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 b\u1ecb \u201cv\u1ea1 l\u00e2y\u201d. B\u00e0 Georgieva c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o nh\u1eefng \u201cc\u00fa s\u1ed1c ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c h\u01a1n n\u1eefa\u201d c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n

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\u0110\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19 v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Nga \u2013 Ukraine \u0111ang khi\u1ebfn kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, trang Wall Street Journal c\u0169ng d\u1eabn l\u1eddi c\u1ee7a C\u1ef1u B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Larry Summers tr\u00ean ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh \u201cMeet the Press\u201d c\u1ee7a NBC r\u1eb1ng, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2022.<\/p>\n

Trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 6, C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam 0,75%, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, \u0111\u01b0a l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t qu\u1ef9 li\u00ean bang l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 1,5 \u2013 1,75%. V\u00e0 trong phi\u00ean h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 7, m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa, Fed l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 0,75% khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c trong 40 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Jerome Powell cho bi\u1ebft Fed s\u1ebd ki\u00ean tr\u00ec v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u01b0a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 2% b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1o ra suy tho\u00e1i. \u00d4ng cho bi\u1ebft m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean 3,8% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023, nh\u01b0ng \u201ckh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n c\u00e1ch n\u00e0o kh\u00e1c\u201d.<\/p>\n

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Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong \u201c\u0111\u1ea1i gia \u0111\u00ecnh EU\u201d c\u0169ng \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c. Theo d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf, EU c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 33% nguy c\u01a1 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i trong c\u1ea3 12 th\u00e1ng. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng cho r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 8,1% m\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ghi nh\u1eadn h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, IMF d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m nay c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 4,4% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 3,3% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9\/2022, v\u1edbi l\u00fd do Covid-19\u00a0b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng phong t\u1ecfa tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng \u1edf c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 l\u1edbn \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

H\u00f4m 25\/8 v\u1eeba qua, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c (PBOC) b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 2,85% xu\u1ed1ng 2,75%, tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ee9 hai k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m c\u1ee7a PBOC, \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i m\u00e0 theo h\u1ecd l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 \u201ct\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\u201d cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19. Theo Wall Street, \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y c\u1ed7 m\u00e1y s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

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IMF li\u00ean t\u1ee5c h\u1ea1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u1ede th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf \u1edf quy m\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y k\u00e9o theo kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng k\u00e9m s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c1 b\u1ecb s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng chung \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y trong chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng c\u00e0ng l\u00e0m v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 tr\u1edf n\u00ean tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng. S\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi di\u1ec5n ra v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 d\u01b0 th\u1eeba s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c. Nh\u01b0ng, nh\u1eefng r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t trong quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf th\u1eddi gian qua \u0111ang khi\u1ebfn cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c l\u1edbn kh\u00f3 ng\u1ed3i l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p chung.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi, \u0111a s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ec1u kh\u00e1 bi quan. Moody\u2019s Analytics, chi nh\u00e1nh chuy\u00ean v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u00e3ng x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi Moody\u2019s, m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 b\u00e0i ph\u00e2n t\u00edch nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng giao d\u1ecbch ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n trong n\u0103m 2022.<\/p>\n

R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang b\u1ecb t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c do \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng v\u00e0 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c, th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, theo Wall Street.<\/p>\n

Lan Hoa<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd c\u1ee5m t\u1eeb \u201csuy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf\u201d \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ebf tr\u00ean thanh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 Google. N\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 bi quan c\u1ee7a ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[153565,153566,153564,1868,152236],"topics":[],"longform":[],"members":[152688],"story":[],"thematic":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/608691"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=608691"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/608691\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":608731,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/608691\/revisions\/608731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=608691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=608691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=608691"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=608691"},{"taxonomy":"longform","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/longform?post=608691"},{"taxonomy":"members","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/members?post=608691"},{"taxonomy":"story","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/story?post=608691"},{"taxonomy":"thematic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematic?post=608691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}