{"id":521279,"date":"2021-06-01T06:46:30","date_gmt":"2021-05-31T23:46:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/canhco.net\/?p=521279"},"modified":"2024-01-28T08:20:56","modified_gmt":"2024-01-28T01:20:56","slug":"ly-do-vi-sao-imf-ba-lan-khuyen-viet-nam-dung-gia-ngheo-gia-kho-nua","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/ly-do-vi-sao-imf-ba-lan-khuyen-viet-nam-dung-gia-ngheo-gia-kho-nua-p521279.html","title":{"rendered":"L\u00fd do v\u00ec sao IMF ba l\u1ea7n khuy\u00ean Vi\u1ec7t Nam “\u0111\u1eebng gi\u1ea3 ngh\u00e8o, gi\u1ea3 kh\u1ed5 n\u1eefa”"},"content":{"rendered":"

M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, \u0111o\u00e0n chuy\u00ean ga IMF \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eedi khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb l\u00ean T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea Vi\u1ec7t Nam (GSO) v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u00ednh l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 3 m\u00e0 IMF \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb tr\u00ean, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed IMF c\u00f2n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP, m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ec1u khi\u1ebfn GDP t\u0103ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n kho\u1ea3ng 25% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u00e1ng 4\/2020, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00ednh l\u1ea1i GDP v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng 25,4%. Th\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng, hai \u0111\u1ee3t th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP tr\u00ean ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi xem x\u00e9t, r\u00e0 so\u00e1t c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf thu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea1m vi s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp t\u1edbi c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf ng\u1ea7m v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p.<\/p>\n

Trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, IMF \u0111\u00e3 hai l\u1ea7n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP. L\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2010-2017, t\u0103ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n 25,4% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. L\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2018-2020, c\u0169ng t\u0103ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n tr\u00ean 25% so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. IMF \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh, quy m\u00f4 GDP 2020 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ea1t 340,8 t\u1ef7 USD (theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u00e1ng 4\/2021).<\/p>\n

Trong l\u1ea7n sang h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2019, \u00f4ng Robert Dippelsman, Ph\u00f3 Tr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) cho hay, IMF mu\u1ed1n Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p m\u1edbi, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u1eeba v\u00e0 nh\u1ecf, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, m\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u1ec1 GDP ch\u01b0a t\u00ednh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ebft v\u00e0 ch\u01b0a c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 nh\u1eefng s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o bao ph\u1ee7 100% to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 nh\u1eefng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

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\u00d4ng Robert Dippelsman, Ph\u00f3 Tr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u00d4ng Robert c\u0169ng cho r\u1eb1ng, hi\u1ec7n nay vi\u1ec7c r\u00e0 so\u00e1t, c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u1ec1 GDP l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhanh nh\u01b0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u00ec vi\u1ec7c th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0 r\u00e0 so\u00e1t l\u1ea1i GDP l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i r\u1ea5t nhanh v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u kinh t\u1ebf, v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi v\u00e0 \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 v\u1eeba r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn. Ngo\u00e0i ra, kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, hai \u0111\u1ee3t th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t, r\u00e0 so\u00e1t c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf thu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea1m vi s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp t\u1edbi c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf ng\u1ea7m v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p.<\/p>\n

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V\u00ec th\u1ebf, trong khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb qu\u00fd I\/2021, IMF \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 r\u00f5, vi\u1ec7c lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh thi\u1ebfu quy m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m sai ch\u1ec7ch t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP, v\u00e0 g\u00e2y tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i cho so s\u00e1nh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. S\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh ch\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u00e0 th\u00e0nh t\u1ed1 phi ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c trong c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, IMF s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c gia to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n th\u00eam m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n

T\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c t\u1ed5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u tra kinh t\u1ebf, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 8\/2021, s\u1ebd bao tr\u00f9m c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng phi ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c. C\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u tra s\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ed9 bao ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Theo B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0110o\u00e0n c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n Qu\u1ed1c gia, trong qu\u00fd I\/2021, IMF \u0111\u00e3 khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd sau:<\/p>\n

(1) Thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh (gi\u00e1 so s\u00e1nh 2010) sang n\u0103m g\u1ed1c li\u00ean ho\u00e0n.\u00a0 T\u1ea1i sao ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103m g\u1ed1c li\u00ean ho\u00e0n ?<\/em><\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n nay, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh (gi\u00e1 so s\u00e1nh 2010) \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4. Nh\u01b0ng n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh (gi\u00e1 so s\u00e1nh 2010) \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean l\u1ed7i th\u1eddi, v\u00ec th\u1ebf T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea Vi\u1ec7t Nam (TCTK) c\u00f3 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1edbi (gi\u00e1 so s\u00e1nh 2020). Tuy nhi\u00ean, IMF cho r\u1eb1ng n\u0103m 2020 kh\u00f4ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ecdn l\u00e0m n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh, v\u00ec t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19 s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng h\u00ecnh th\u00e1i b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c gia. Ngo\u00e0i ra, do c\u00fa s\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n sang n\u0103m 2021, IMF c\u0169ng khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng n\u0103m 2021 l\u00e0m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1edbi c\u0169ng n\u00ean c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn m\u1ed9t n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

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Tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam, IMF khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh sang n\u0103m g\u1ed1c li\u00ean ho\u00e0n. Tr\u00ean l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft, vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng n\u0103m g\u1ed1c li\u00ean ho\u00e0n \u01b0u vi\u1ec7t h\u01a1n, b\u1edfi v\u00ec c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean, gi\u1ea3m nguy c\u01a1 x\u1ea3y ra nh\u1eefng m\u00e9o m\u00f3 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

IMF s\u1ebd tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh sang n\u0103m g\u1ed1c li\u00ean ho\u00e0n. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 12\/2022, TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam ph\u1ea3i b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m bi\u00ean so\u1ea1n v\u00e0 tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c theo n\u0103m g\u1ed1c li\u00ean ho\u00e0n. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 3\/2023, TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam ph\u1ea3i c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103m g\u1ed1c m\u1edbi. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 4\/2023, to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ee3p nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng World Economic Outlook Database c\u1ee7a IMF.<\/p>\n

(2) Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c gia to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n \u2013 bao tr\u00f9m c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. V\u00ec sao ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u00eam m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa?<\/em><\/p>\n

Trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, IMF \u0111\u00e3 hai l\u1ea7n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP. L\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2010-2017, t\u0103ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n 25,4% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. L\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2018-2020, c\u0169ng t\u0103ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n tr\u00ean 25% so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. IMF \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh quy m\u00f4 GDP 2020 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ea1t 340,8 t\u1ef7 USD (b\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u00e1ng 4\/2021).<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, hai \u0111\u1ee3t th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP tr\u00ean ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi xem x\u00e9t, r\u00e0 so\u00e1t c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf thu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea1m vi s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp t\u1edbi c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf ng\u1ea7m v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p. IMF cho r\u1eb1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh thi\u1ebfu quy m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m sai ch\u1ec7ch t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m trong n\u01b0\u1edbc (GDP), g\u00e2y tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i cho so s\u00e1nh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. S\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh ch\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u00e0 th\u00e0nh t\u1ed1 phi ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c trong c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng. Cho n\u00ean, IMF s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c gia to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n th\u00eam m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ed5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u tra kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n trong n\u0103m 2021, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 8, s\u1ebd bao tr\u00f9m c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng phi ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, IMF s\u1ebd h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea m\u1edbi (h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng b\u1ea3ng SUT & IO 2020). D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u1edbi s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6\/2022, th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n song song v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103m g\u1ed1c li\u00ean ho\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

(3) C\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n h\u01a1n n\u1eefa kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 si\u00eau d\u1eef li\u1ec7u chi ti\u1ebft s\u1eb5n c\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng ti\u1ebfng Anh. Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u00ean c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u b\u1eb1ng ti\u1ebfng Anh ?<\/em><\/p>\n

IMF cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u1ec1 t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c gia n\u0103m ho\u1eb7c qu\u00fd c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng s\u1eb5n c\u00f3 t\u1ea1i c\u1ed5ng th\u00f4ng tin \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed c\u1ee7a TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam. C\u00e1c \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh GDP qu\u00fd ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u1eb1ng ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm th\u00f4ng tin. Vi\u1ec7c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u b\u1eb1ng ti\u1ebfng Anh s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u00f4ng tin t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

(4) X\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n nay, Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 c\u00e1c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt b\u00e1o c\u00e1o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u s\u1edbm nh\u1ea5t \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng qu\u00fd, m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng. IMF khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea7n x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng th\u00eam ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p \u0111a d\u1ea1ng th\u00f4ng tin h\u01a1n. IMF s\u1ebd nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng qu\u00fd hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, IMF \u0111\u00e3 ba l\u1ea7n khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 GDP. V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Vi\u1ec7t Nam, TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ed5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u tra kinh t\u1ebf, tuy nhi\u00ean v\u1eabn \u0111ang s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng n\u0103m g\u1ed1c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh (gi\u00e1 so s\u00e1nh 2010). C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i Qu\u00fd I\/2021, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb GDP \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 60% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, TCTK Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111ang r\u00e0 so\u00e1t l\u1ea1i GRDP c\u1ea5p t\u1ec9nh\/th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 tr\u1ef1c thu\u1ed9c trung \u01b0\u01a1ng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2010-2020, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8\/2021.<\/p>\n

B\u1ea3o Tr\u00e2m<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, \u0111o\u00e0n chuy\u00ean ga IMF \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eedi khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb l\u00ean T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea Vi\u1ec7t Nam (GSO) v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u00ednh l\u1ea1i quy m\u00f4 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 3 m\u00e0 IMF \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb tr\u00ean, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed IMF c\u00f2n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i quy […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[137748,4823],"topics":[],"longform":[],"members":[128588],"story":[],"thematic":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/521279"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=521279"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/521279\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":635385,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/521279\/revisions\/635385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=521279"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=521279"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=521279"},{"taxonomy":"topics","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topics?post=521279"},{"taxonomy":"longform","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/longform?post=521279"},{"taxonomy":"members","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/members?post=521279"},{"taxonomy":"story","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/story?post=521279"},{"taxonomy":"thematic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.canhco.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematic?post=521279"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}